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Water leader: '08 supplies grim


Smelt protections will leave parts of state 35 percent drier

Cecilia Parsons
Capital Press

November 23, 2007

MODESTO - A Nov. 13 water seminar presented by the Almond Board of California left no doubt about the grim outlook for agricultural water supplies should the 2008 rainfall season be a repeat of 2007.

"There are 216,000 acres of almonds south of the delta that rely on water deliveries. Chances are it will be tough next year unless you can find water to buy," said seminar speaker Mike Wade. Wade, executive director of the California Farm Water Coalition, presented a statewide picture of surface farm water supplies.

"Storage has fallen drastically since January. We have the lowest overall storage since 2001. Without a wet winter, 2008 will be a tough year," Wade said.

His sobering graphic of the state with a rope knotted tight around the delta told the story: Water cuts to protect the smelt will leave the south half of the state with 35 percent less water.

Bill Harrison, general manager of the Del Puerto Water District, said Westside farmers have been reeling from one water crisis to another. Prior to 1991, he said, surface water supplies were reliable. However, federal laws enacted since then have diverted water for endangered species, the Central Valley Project Improvement Act and to comply with the Clean Water Act.

Reliability of supplies has spiraled downward to 65 percent, he said. During that time more growers have planted permanent higher-value crops to pay for pumping irrigation water from their wells when surface supplies are short.

Harrison estimated that agriculture allocations south of the delta for 2008 would be 50 percent of normal if rainfall is average and only 35 percent of normal in a dry year.

He also warned there are other environmental issues looming besides the delta smelt. A ruling is expected on water temperature control for salmon in the
Sacramento River that would divert more ag water.

Brent Walthall, assistant general manager of the Kern County Water Agency suggested the state needs to look ahead 40 to 60 years at water needs and address the vulnerability of the delta. There is a 60 percent chance of an earthquake in the next 50 years that could collapse 30 levees, he said.

"Within hours the water from the delta would be unusable. Economic losses would be $30-40 billion in the first five years," he predicted. The best idea, Walthall said, is building a canal around the delta.

Although voters soundly rejected the proposition to build a canal in 1982, the idea is being revisited. Advantages listed by Walthall included protection from levee failure, improved water quality, fish protection and flexibility to address impacts of climate change on water supplies. Disadvantages include cost and difficulty of building such a conveyance.

Walthall said this version of the canal would be smaller, a 46-mile unlined canal that could be built for an estimated $3.4 billion cost. He estimated that if approved, canal construction and design would take about 10 years.

In the interim there are no good answers for agricultural water users, he said. Water supplies may be tight for a while. There is hope a new biological opinion due in 2008 on delta smelt might not be as restrictive for water pumping.

In reply to a question from the audience, Wade said opposition to the canal is coming from the environmental community and in-delta water users. In-delta users are concerned about losing their water quality.

One of the biggest challenges to the plan, he said would be securing trust from the north that water volume down the canal would not harm their water rights and trust in the south that the system would provide for agriculture uses.

Cecilia Parsons is a staff writer based in Ducor. E-mail: cparsons@capitalpress.com.

 

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