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Questions & answers

 

About the economics

 

Klamath Falls Herald and News

April 4, 2008

Page C4


   Q: What tests were applied to make sure there is a return on investment, or that the agreement is cost effective? 


   A: Klamath County Commissioner John Elliott said that, for the county’s share, it was a simple tax loss calculation of irrigated versus nonirrigated land and a suggested cost for an economic development study. Aside from that, Elliott said he wasn’t sure how a cost-benefit analysis of environmental improvements and community stability could be measured. 

 

   You have to look at the costs of not doing anything, he said, which would include litigation and water uncertainty. 


   There hasn’t been a government study, said Matt Baun, public affairs specialist for U.S. Fish and Wildlife Services. 


   “Many of the tribes look at the potential to restore their native cultures and traditions, two elements that are highly valued but do not come with price tags,” he said. 


   The status quo isn’t working for the federal government either, he said, adding that the cost in disaster relief payments to the Basin has reached more than $100 million since 2001. 


   “Some years, the fishing industry suffers, some years the farmers suffer,” he said. “The restoration agreement attempts to find permanent solutions Basin-wide so we can end the cycle of crisis after crisis.” 


   David Diamond, assistant to the regional director of Fish and Wildlife Services, represented the Department of Interior during the negotiations. He agreed with Baun. 


   Diamond said that in contrast to money spent in the agreement, which would benefit water, fish and the various communities, without an agreement, taxpayers could continue footing relief packages and compensation which wouldn’t do anything to improve or solve the situation. 


   Q: How much does Klamath and Tulelake area agriculture add to the Basin economy annually? What’s at stake? 


   A: From its headwaters to its mouth, the
Klamath River Basin had a value of $10 billion in 2002, one study shows, with $2.7 billion from natural resources, like agriculture, wood products and fishing. The economic study was published in a 2004 book, “Endangered and Threatened Fisheries of the Klamath River Basin ” by the National Research Council. Pablo Arroyave, Bureau of Reclamation’s Klamath Project manager, said that the project’s gross sales for 2007 were $200 million. That number includes both sides of the Oregon and California border. The Tulelake Irrigation District reported a crop value of $71.3 million for lands served by the district in 2007. Countywide, the Klamath Basin Research and Extension Center reported sales receipts in 2007 at $298 million. In addition to gross sales, center director Willie Riggs said agricultural sales have a multiplying effect of two, meaning every time $1 is generated from agriculture in Klamath County , another $1 is generated in total local business sales. With the multiplier, the size of agriculture in Klamath County grows to $600 million. 


   Q: What are the ramifications of the agreement for the general public? 


   A: Greg Williams, retired regional vice president for Northwest Farm Credit Services, said the water cutoff in 2001 can give a general idea of what can happen to farmers and businessmen. 


   “The loss of income did not create an immediate ‘trickle down’ effect but rather a ‘flood effect’ upon the Klamath Basin business community as farmers stopped buying supplies, equipment, fuel, pickups and all other goods, except the basic necessities,” he said. 


   Also, farm workers found themselves suddenly unemployed, losing spending power that was also felt by local merchants. Many workers left the Basin to work elsewhere, which left empty homes for sale or rent and caused a drop in school enrollment. 


   If land moves from irrigated status to dryland, values would drop sharply, creating a domino effect of lower tax revenue to pay for schools and government, he said. 


   “Loss of income relates to a loss of services that impact all members of the community.” 


   Williams also said the issue of water split the Basin into an “us against them mentality,” dividing collective energy that could be used for other problems. 


   “Basically, the agreement will help to break down community barriers, stabilize the value of assets and assure viability of the
Klamath Basin business community,” Williams said. 


   Klamath County Commissioner John Elliott said the water crisis reached farther than just irrigated farm acres — south suburb residences, playing fields and school grounds also were left high and dry in 2001. 


   The agreement, he said, provides a conflict resolution format, not found outside of the courts or governmental bodies — a model he believes can be used for collaboration. 


   In addition, Elliott said the land acquisition by the Klamath Tribes should result in a growth of timber-related opportunities for the larger community. 


   Annual uncertainties in water allocations will hit the community just as hard as the past reduction in the local timber industry, Elliott said. 


   “It affects a banker’s decision to allocate funds to the producer’s operating line. The producer, in turn, is reluctant to buy equipment or negotiate long-term contracts for his operation.” 


   That, in turn, clouds the rest of the community. 


   “Whether a person paints houses, supplies the paint or hires the painter, the decision to do so is dependent upon the economy,” Elliott said. “And if that is uncertain, most of us put off the expense and the economy continues to stagnate.”

 

 

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