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Researchers say Basin growing season to
change
Farmers and ranchers in the Klamath Basin will likely
experience better growing conditions as the globe warms,
researchers with the Oregon Climate Change Research
Institute said in a report released Tuesday.
Climate scientists predict the Klamath Basin will
warm up to 7 degrees in the next 40 years and expect
precipitation to increase, making the Basin’s
climate similar to the Willamette Valley’s current
climate.
“Our
findings were that in some respects, the changes
aren’t as dramatic,” said Roger Hamilton, senior
policy analyst at the Climate Leadership Institute,
which in March released a report on climate change
in the Basin. “There are positive and negative
impacts. The important message here is variability
and change.
“It’s not all bad news,” he said. “Change means you
have to be able to adapt and change the way you do
business.”
The
state report echoed Hamilton’s: the Basin will
experience longer, warmer growing seasons, which
likely means more lush crops. Warmer temperatures
also would allow for a wider range of crops than the
Basin — known for potatoes and alfalfa — has
traditionally been able
to support.
State researchers
said farmers would have to adjust their practices to the
new climate.
“Most crop systems
have been maximized for optimal production and
sustainability through the years, and exist in a narrow
temperature niche — one that may no longer be optimal
under a warmer climate,” researchers state in the
report.
But there also are
drawbacks to warmer temperatures.
Soil fungi and crop
pests grow better in warmer temperatures, and with fewer
freezes likely as year-round temperatures rise, more
fungi and pests will survive the winter, researchers
predict.
The biggest concern
is snowpack, Hamilton said.
“Availability,
quality and cost of water will likely be the most
limiting factor for agricultural production systems
under the scenario of a warmer climate,” researchers
wrote. “Many Oregon irrigation systems are fed by
snowmelt … With a rise in temperature, irrigation
demands are projected to increase.”
While climate models
show the Basin will actually receive more precipitation
over the next 40 years, that’s in conjunction with
higher temperatures, so it will come down as rain
instead of snow.
Snow pack is natural
storage for water bodies in the Basin, particularly
Upper Klamath Lake — a primary source of surface water
for irrigation. It also is governed by federal
biological opinions to protect endangered fish.
Flows into the lake have already
decreased 38 percent over 48 years. Researchers fear
with less snowpack, drought conditions will be more
common and more water will be retained in the lake to
meet biological opinions, further reducing the amount of
irrigation water available to farmers.
Side Bar
Adjusting business practices
As the local climate
changes, Klamath Basin growers will need to adjust their
business practices, said Roger Hamilton, senior policy
analyst with Climate Leadership Initiative and a farmer
and rancher in Langell Valley.
Some recommendations:
-
Make irrigation systems more
efficient. That will save money on power -
rates have increased dramatically in recent years - and
it also will save water. Climate scientists expect
water to be even scarcer as higher temperatures reduce
snowpack,
-
Plant drought-resistant crops.
Winter wheat and other crops conducive to dryland
farming are planted in the winter and require less
water. Hamilton said he's had success with winter
wheat, though winter crops need freezing weather to
prevent wheat kill.
-
Diversity crops.
Strawberries are growing successfully in the Basin and
Hamilton said he may try wine grapes - both crops that
typically would do better in the Willamette Valley then
in the Basin.
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