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Report sees new climate

 

Researchers say Basin growing season to change 

 

By SARA HOTTMAN 

H&N Staff Reporter

December 2, 2010

 

   Farmers and ranchers in the Klamath Basin will likely experience better growing conditions as the globe warms, researchers with the Oregon Climate Change Research Institute said in a report released Tuesday.

 

   Climate scientists predict the Klamath Basin will warm up to 7 degrees in the next 40 years and expect precipitation to increase, making the Basin’s climate similar to the Willamette Valley’s current climate.

 

   “Our findings were that in some respects, the changes aren’t as dramatic,” said Roger Hamilton, senior policy analyst at the Climate Leadership Institute, which in March released a report on climate change in the Basin. “There are positive and negative impacts. The important message here is variability and change.

 

   “It’s not all bad news,” he said. “Change means you have to be able to adapt and change the way you do business.”

 

   Longer, warmer seasons

 

   The state report echoed Hamilton’s: the Basin will experience longer, warmer growing seasons, which likely means more lush crops. Warmer temperatures also would allow for a wider range of crops than the Basin — known for potatoes and alfalfa — has traditionally been able to support.

 

   State researchers said farmers would have to adjust their practices to the new climate.

 

   “Most crop systems have been maximized for optimal production and sustainability through the years, and exist in a narrow temperature niche — one that may no longer be optimal under a warmer climate,” researchers state in the report.

 

   But there also are drawbacks to warmer temperatures.

 

   Soil fungi and crop pests grow better in warmer temperatures, and with fewer freezes likely as year-round temperatures rise, more fungi and pests will survive the winter, researchers predict.

 

   Snowpack concerns

 

   The biggest concern is snowpack, Hamilton said.  

 

   “Availability, quality and cost of water will likely be the most limiting factor for agricultural production systems under the scenario of a warmer climate,” researchers wrote. “Many Oregon irrigation systems are fed by snowmelt … With a rise in temperature, irrigation demands are projected to increase.”

 

   While climate models show the Basin will actually receive more precipitation over the next 40 years, that’s in conjunction with higher temperatures, so it will come down as rain instead of snow.

 

   Snow pack is natural storage for water bodies in the Basin, particularly Upper Klamath Lake — a primary source of surface water for irrigation. It also is governed by federal biological opinions to protect endangered fish.     

 

   Flows into the lake have already decreased 38 percent over 48 years. Researchers fear with less snowpack, drought conditions will be more common and more water will be retained in the lake to meet biological opinions, further reducing the amount of irrigation water available to farmers.  

 

Side Bar
 
Adjusting business practices
 
   As the local climate changes, Klamath Basin growers will need to adjust their business practices, said Roger Hamilton, senior policy analyst with Climate Leadership Initiative and a farmer and rancher in Langell Valley.
 
   Some recommendations:
  • Make irrigation systems more efficient.  That will save money on power - rates have increased dramatically in recent years - and it also will save water.  Climate scientists expect water to be even scarcer as higher temperatures reduce snowpack,
  • Plant drought-resistant crops.  Winter wheat and other crops conducive to dryland farming are planted in the winter and require less water.  Hamilton said he's had success with winter wheat, though winter crops need freezing weather to prevent wheat kill.
  • Diversity crops.  Strawberries are growing successfully in the Basin and Hamilton said he may try wine grapes - both crops that typically would do better in the Willamette Valley then in the Basin.

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