Validity of lawmakers’ KBRA poll under fire
Editor’s note: This is one in
an ongoing series about the impact of the Klamath Basin Restoration
Agreement. An advisory measure about the KBRA and dam removal is on the
Nov. 2 ballot.
The
issue: Three state legislators conducted a public
opinion poll last year, asking for thoughts on the Klamath Basin
Restoration Agreement and dam removal settlement. Two-thirds of those
polled said they opposed the KBRA.
Why
voters should care: Stakeholders on both sides of the
KBRA have used public opinion as a means of defending their positions.
Each side says its view represents the best interests of Klamath Basin
irrigators.
What
opponents say:
The lawmakers’ poll is misleading.
Questions often can be asked with slanted wording that influences
responses. The lawmakers also did not ask enough residents for the poll
to be valid.
What
proponents say: The poll confirms what opponents of KBRA
have long been saying: restoration and dam removal will force taxpayers
to foot the bill for a project that will greatly reduce the region’s
future agricultural capability.
A public opinion poll conducted last
year by three state lawmakers indicated about two-thirds of Klamath
Basin residents oppose the Klamath Basin Restoration Agreement and
hydroelectric dam settlement.
But supporters of the KBRA argue
that the polling was skewed and asked too few residents to be an
accurate gauge of public opinion.
The KBRA aims to resolve water
conflicts among stakeholders in the Klamath River Basin. It also
advocates removal of four dams.
Klamath County voters on Nov. 2 will
be asked whether the county should or should not be involved in the
agreement and its implementation. The vote is advisory.
Oregon State Sen. Doug Whitsett,
R-Klamath Falls, and state Reps. Bill Garrard, R-Klamath Falls and
George Gilman, R-Medford, conducted the poll in May 2009.
With the help of a polling company
owned by Oregon state Sen. Larry George, R-Sherwood, the three lawmakers
were able to reach 301 county residents.
Those residents were asked five
questions, including whether they favored or opposed the KBRA, how they
felt about purchasing land for the Klamath Tribes and how they felt
about KBRA meetings being confidential and closed to the public.
Sixty-five percent of those polled
said they opposed the KBRA, while 11 percent said they supported it.
Twenty-five percent said they didn’t know.
Sixty- eight percent polled said
they opposed the agreement purchasing land for the Klamath Tribes, while
7 percent said they favored it. When asked about confidential meetings,
73 percent said those meetings were detrimental to public policy. Five
percent said the meetings were good public policy.
The polling “told us what we had
been hearing from our constituents across the county,” Whitsett said,
adding he had been receiving calls from people concerned about the KBRA
since it was first announced.
Garrard said he participated in the
polling because he wanted to know where his constituents stood on the
KBRA and dam removal issues.
“At the time we took the survey, my
primary interest was finding out, do people want the KBRA or don’t
they?” Garrard said, adding the results helped form his opinion on the
issue.
“It’s pretty overwhelming that they
oppose dam removal,” he said.
But some KBRA and dam removal
proponents believe there was a high likelihood the polling was skewed.
Kirk Oakes, Democratic candidate for
Klamath County commissioner, called the dam removal survey a “push
poll.” A push poll is a campaign tactic used to sway public opinion,
based on misleading or biased wording of the questions.
“It was designed to elicit a
specific response,” Oakes said. “There is a lot of dishonesty going on”
in regard to the KBRA.
“The arguments that
are being placed against dam removal are based on a lot of individuals”
who have a financial stake against dam removal, he said.
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