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Wheat prices are rising
Russian losses
mean better prices for U.S. growers
September 9, 2010
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H&N photo by
Jill Aho The price of a bushel of wheat has risen
since drought and wildfire destroyed at least
20 percent of
Russia’s wheat crop.
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Wildfires and severe drought
have killed at least 20 percent of wheat crops in Russia, suddenly
improving what was projected to be a low income year for Oregon and
other U.S. wheat farmers.
“Prior to harvest we predicted
we’d have plenty of grain in our inventory available for purchase,”
which would lower the price per bushel, said Tammy Dennee, executive
director of the Oregon Wheat Growers League. “This situation with
Russia lets us know we are truly an elastic, expanding and
contracting market, affected daily by the global market.”
On June 21, the price for a
bushel of wheat in Oregon was $4.55 A bushel is about 60
pounds of grain, which would
fill a five-gallon bucket.
At the end of June, the Russian
drought struck, withering crops and spreading wildfires.
A month later, wheat prices in
the U.S. spiked.
In Oregon, prices have jumped $2
and are currently $6.55 a bushel. Projections show
that prices will be $6.75 a
bushel in October and $6.85 in November.
“Two dollars is a lot, a nickel
is a lot when you’re on a very tight margin like farmers
operate on today,” Dennee said.
Many Klamath County grain
producers didn’t plant wheat this year. Noonan Farms, an organic
farm, planted some, a manager said. Umatilla County in northern
Oregon is the largest wheat-producing county in Oregon.
Russia is one of the top wheat
exporters in the world,
along with China, India and the United States. With nearly a quarter
of its wheat crops killed, the world supply has been depressed about
1.6 percent, according to the International Food Policy Research
Institute, causing prices for the other major wheat exporters to
increase.
The U.S. Department of
Agriculture projects U.S. growers will produce 2.3 billion bushels
of wheat this year. Last year, when prices were $4.85 a bushel,
producers harvested about 2.2 billion bushels, and in 2008, when
prices were $6.78 a bushel, growers harvested about 2.5 billion
bushels.
On Wednesday, the Russian
government extended a grain export ban that started mid-August in an
effort to stabilize its domestic market. Now the ban will be in
place into next year, and possibly into the next planting season.
“Our farmers in the United
States are subject to a global marketplace,” Dennee said . “When
there’s a catastrophe like the Russia drought situation, it really
draws attention to the
sensitivity of the overall agricultural supply and demand.
“The overseas
buyers who were looking to Russia to fill some of their need are now
forced to look at some other crop.”
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