Searching for science: SDSU-led team finds habitat conservation plans overstate benefits for endangered species


SAN DIEGO ---- Where's the science?

That's the question researchers are asking after digesting the meat of more than 20 West Coast habitat conservation plans, including some in San Diego and Riverside counties.

The research team, led by Matt Rahn, director of San Diego State University field stations, concluded in a study earlier this month that in many cases sketchy scientific information was used to craft such plans, which aim to protect enough habitat of imperiled species to prevent extinction while opening other habitat to development.

The team's biggest beef with the plans is that, on average, 41 percent of species they were designed to protect hadn't even been found on the ground. Without knowing whether and where a particular species exists, Rahn said, the federal regulatory agencies that approve such plans cannot be certain the species will be rescued.

"We found it to be pretty startling to realize that, for many species, there wasn't baseline information, and yet they were covered in a MSHCP (multiple species habitat conservation plan)," he said, citing the rare Quino checkerspot butterfly as an example. "Where is the science? We're not seeing it in some of these plans."

Because of the lack of science, Rahn said, the research team maintains agencies such as the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service have inflated prospects for the survival of protected species.

Some environmental groups agree.

David Hogan, a San Diego County spokesman for the Arizona-based Center for Biological Diversity, said, "the report pinpoints with scientific accuracy the concerns that environmentalists have been raising for years, and that is that many of these plans, including several in San Diego, reached too far in their claims of conservation of endangered species."

Habitat plans are relatively new

However, Jane Hendron, spokeswoman for the Fish and Wildlife Service in Carlsbad, disagreed that her agency has overstated plans' potential for saving endangered species.

"These habitat conservation plans do incorporate and are based on good science," Hendron said.

Yes, she said, there are gaps in data. Still, the plans are grounded on thick volumes of information. And where the agency isn't able to confirm the existence of a particular type of animal or plant, it is careful to set aside the type of habitat the species can use.

The problem, said Rahn, is that without knowing whether a rare butterfly or bird actually lives in an area, a plan designer cannot know whether the preserved habitat will in fact help the species' cause.

Rahn teamed up on the study with Holly Doremus, a UC Davis law professor, and James Diffendorfer, a scientist with the Illinois Natural History Survey. In the July issue of BioScience magazine, the trio published their findings in a study of 22 habitat conservation plans in California, Oregon, Washington and Nevada.

Habitat plans are a relatively recent phenomenon. They emerged after the 1982 passage of an amendment to the landmark 1973 Endangered Species Act.

Bulking up on endangered species

In the early years of the conservation plan, strategies tended to focus on one species in isolation and on the activities of a single agency or developer. In more recent years, property owners have elected to form regional partnerships and craft plans that set aside land for the survival of multiple species and clear the way for multiple land users to fire up the bulldozer.

"Developers figured out that these agencies in charge would let them bulk up on the list of species that these plans would allow them to kill and bulldoze habitat for," said Hogan, of the Center for Biological Diversity.

San Diego was one of the first counties in the nation to embrace the idea of a regional, multi-pronged strategy, and in 1996 completed a plan for 235,000 acres and 85 species. A number of other San Diego County plans are in the works, including one covering seven North County cities. And in June 2004, the Fish and Wildlife Service approved one of the nation's most sweeping conservation plans in western Riverside County, one spanning 526,000 acres and 146 species.

Borre Winckel, executive director for the Riverside County Chapter of the Building Industry Association of Southern California and one of the negotiators on the western Riverside plan, said it only makes sense to work with other stakeholders to develop plans that cover entire regions.

"The alternative is deplorable ---- standing in line in Carlsbad and negotiating to get individual permits from the feds," Winckel said.

It also makes sense, said Fish and Wildlife's Hendron, to devise a regional plan that weaves together the needs of many species and delivers a comprehensive, connected system of reserves. That's better than the hodgepodge of tiny islands of reserves that would have emerged, had the agency still been dealing with each property owner one by one, she said.

One size doesn't fit all

What doesn't make sense, said Rahn, is how those are reserve systems are being pieced together.

Rahn said regional plans tend to focus on popular flagship species, such as the California coastal gnatcatcher bird, and tend to reflect the habitat needs of that species. He said plans tend to assume that what is good for one species is good for the others.

"You can't just focus on the California gnatcatcher or the spotted owl," Rahn said.

Often, he said, other species require a unique habitat type.

Hendron countered that her agency does not blindly assume that saving coastal sage scrub for the gnatcatcher, for example, will automatically cover other birds' needs. She said the Fish and Wildlife Service requires oak woodlands, wetlands, grasslands and other types of habitat to be preserved, too, to meet the different needs of different animals and plants ---- including those that might show later.

Those decisions are based on extensive research, she said. At the same time, there are sometimes holes in the research that cannot be filled.

"There is always, ideally, the desire to know everything there is to know about a species before you identify an action to take on its behalf. That is the academic world," she said. "But in the real world of on-the-ground conservation biology, that's not always doable."

Contact staff writer Dave Downey at (760) 740-5442 or ddowney@nctimes.com.



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