by Thomas Sowell
January 2006
Not often do Rush Limbaugh and New York Times columnist Paul
Krugman agree on anything but recently both of them pointed out the same
pattern in the prices of housing -- and both were correct.
The pattern is this: Despite hysteria over high home prices, in most parts
of the United States housing is quite affordable. But in some places housing
prices are astronomical -- three times the national average in much of
California, for example.
Despite the old rule of thumb that housing should cost no more than one
fourth of your income, there are parts of California where tenants and new
home buyers pay at least half their incomes for housing.
This can be a serious problem in such places because it means that only the
other half of people's income is available to pay for such frills as food
and clothing.
These dire situations are more likely to be featured in the media, partly
because bad news sells newspapers and gets higher television ratings.
Moreover, media elites are more likely to be living in the places where
housing prices are out of sight -- places like Manhattan, coastal
California, and the posh suburbs around Washington or various other cities.
It is a very different story in most of the rest of the country. A scholarly
study published in the October 2005 issue of the Journal of Law and
Economics concluded: "In the sprawling cities of the American
heartland, land remains cheap, real construction costs are falling, and
expanding supply keeps housing costs low."
In some cities, housing prices have actually declined as the housing supply
has expanded. None of this is rocket science. It is supply and demand.
Why then are there particular places where housing costs have skyrocketed?
In those places, much of the land is prevented by law from being used to
build housing. These land use restrictions are seldom called land use
restrictions.
They are called by much prettier names, like "open space" laws,
laws to "preserve farmland" or prevent "sprawl,"
"greenbelt" laws -- or whatever else will sell politically.
People who already own their own homes don't worry about whether such laws
will drive housing prices sky high. Somebody else will have to pay those
prices while existing homeowners see the value of their property rise by
leaps and bounds.
Meanwhile, land that might otherwise provide homes for others becomes in
effect free park land for themselves, while such upscale communities use
"open space" laws to keep out the masses. The crowning touch is
that such self-interest is depicted as idealism.
A famous economist named Joseph Schumpeter once said that the first thing
someone will do for his ideals is lie. Some people distinguish little white
lies from black lies but the biggest lies of all are green lies.
To hear environmental zealots tell it, they are just trying to save the last
few patches of greenery from being paved over. But in fact the land area of
the United States covered by forests is more than three times as large as
the land area covered by all the cities and towns across the nation.
Only about 5 percent of the land is urban. In other words, you could double
the size of every city and town in America and still nine-tenths of the land
would be undeveloped.
Some of the biggest hysteria about "saving" land is found in
places where most of the land is already off-limits to building. Some of the
biggest crocodile tears about a need to "preserve farmland" come
from people who are not farmers, and who know little and care less about
farming.
Chronic agricultural surpluses that cost the taxpayers billions show that
there is too much farmland producing more than the market can absorb, while
the growing of these surplus crops puts all sorts of chemicals into the
ground, water, and air. But the green liars don't mention that.
Their real agenda is keeping out other people. Home builders who would
enable other people to move into their community are called selfish and
greedy. Green liars consider themselves morally far superior to
"developers."
Dr. Sowell is a senior fellow at the Hoover
Institution.